Who will be the 2021 Pulitzer Prize Winner for Fiction?

April 8, 2021

The 2021 Pulitzer Prizes will be announced on May 4th, 2021. The names of the finalists are not released ahead of time, and so the winner is a surprise every year. For thirteen years we have been posting a prediction list prepared by a fellow Pulitzer collector and research scientist. This new list is the product of a regression analysis that weighs a given book's performance in other book awards, as well as the author's past award and nomination history. Please keep in mind that this is a prediction and in no way can we guarantee the prize outcome. But we can always count on insightful community discussions. The books that are surfaced, and the comments about them are always engaging and interesting.

Here is the final 2021 PPrize Prediction List for the Pulitzer Prize for Fiction

1.	The Vanishing Half by Brit Bennett
2.	Deacon King Kong by James McBride
3.	A Children's Bible by Lydia Millet
4.	If I Had Two Wings by Randall Kenan
5.	Memorial by Bryan Washington
6.	Shuggie Bain by Douglas Stuart
7.	The Office of Historical Corrections by Danielle Evans
8.	Leave the World Behind by Rumaan Alam
9.	Night. Sleep. Death. The Stars by Joyce Carol Oates
10.	Jack by Marilynne Robinson
11.	The Night Watchman by Louise Erdrich
12.	Redhead by the Side of the Road by Anne Tyler
13.	Dear Ann by Bobbie Ann Mason
14.	Homeland Elegies by Ayad Akhtar
15.	The Secret Lives of Church Ladies by Deesha Philyaw