Pulitzer Prize Novel

Who will be the 2019 Pulitzer Prize Winner for Fiction?


December 28, 2018

The 2019 Pulitzer Prizes will be announced on April 15th at 3:00 PM EST. The names of the finalists are not released ahead of time, and so the winner is a surprise every year. For eleven years we have been posting a prediction list prepared by a fellow Pulitzer collector and research scientist. The list is the product of a regression analysis that weighs a given book's performance in other book awards, as well as the author's past award and nomination history.

We will once again attempt to predict the winner for fiction. Our final list will be available early in April. Until then here is our preliminary prediction list that uses the same regression analysis and model that predicted the winner in the The 2018 Pulitzer Prize Winner list. Please keep in mind that this is a prediction and in no way can we guarantee the prize outcome. But we can always count on insightful community discussions. The books that are surfaced, and the comments about them are always engaging and interesting.

The Preliminary 2019 PPrize Prediction List for the Pulitzer Prize for Fiction

1.There There by Tommy Orange
2.The Friend by Sigrid Nunez
3.Asymmetry by Lisa Halliday
3.The Great Believers by Rebecca Makkai
5.An American Marriage by Tayari Jones
6.The Overstory by Richard Powers
7.Clock Dance by Anne Tyler
8.Beautiful Days by Joyce Carol Oates
8.Hazards of Time Travel by Joyce Carol Oates
10.Florida by Lauren Groff
11.Gun Love by Jennifer Clement
12.The Largesse of the Sea Maiden by Denis Johnson
13.My Year of Rest and Relaxation by Otessa Moshfegh
14.A Lucky Man by Jamel Brinkley



Comment on our lists, or offer your own opinion about who you think will win the 2019 Pulitzer Prize for Fiction: