Who will be the 2018 Pulitzer Prize Winner for Fiction?

April 6, 2018

The 2018 Pulitzer Prizes will be announced on April 16th at 3:00 PM EST. The names of the finalists are not released ahead of time, and so the winner is a surprise every year. For eleven years we have been posting a prediction list prepared by a fellow Pulitzer collector and research scientist. The list is the product of a regression analysis that weighs a given book's performance in other book awards, as well as the author's past award and nomination history.


Here is the final prediction list for the 2018 Pulitzer Prize for Fiction.

1.	Sing, Unburied, Sing by Jesmyn Ward
2.	Improvement by Joan Silber
3.	The Ninth Hour by Alice McDermott
4.	Pachinko by Min Jin Lee
5.	Future Home of the Living God by Louise Erdrich
6.	Manhattan Beach by Jennifer Egan
7.	Lincoln in the Bardo by George Saunders
8.	Here in Berlin by Cristina Garcia
9.	The Last Ballad by Wiley Cash
10.	Less by Andrew Sean Greer
11.	The Changeling by Victor Lavalle
12.	A Kind of Freedom by Margaret Wilkerson Sexton
13.	A Book of American Martyrs by Joyce Carol Oates
14.	Five-Carat Soul by James McBride
15.	The King is Always Above the People by Daniel Alarcon