Recent Pulitzer Prize Winners 2010 to 2016

Who will be the 2017 Pulitzer Prize Winner for Fiction?

January 29, 2017

The 2017 Pulitzer Prizes will be announced in April. Because the names of the finalists are not released ahead of time, the winner is a surprise every year. But for ten years we have been posting a prediction list prepared by a fellow Pulitzer collector and research scientist. The list is the product of a regression analysis that weighs a given book's performance in other book awards, as well as the author's past award and nomination history.

Below is a still early 2017 prediction list, but with the NBCC finalists and ALA noteable book lists incorporated. We will post a few more updates as we approach the award announcement.

1.   The Underground Railroad by Colson Whitehead
2.   LaRose by Louise Erdrich
3.   Commonwealth by Ann Patchett
4.   Imagine Me Gone by Adam Haslett
5.   Moonglow by Michael Chabon
6.   The Association of Small Bombs by Karen Mahajan
7.   Behold the Dreamers by Imbolo Mbue
8.   Homegoing by Yaa Gyasi
9.   The Nix by Nathan Hill
10. The Sport of Kings by C.E. Morgan
11. Christodora by Tim Murphy
12. Missile Paradise by Ron Tanner
13. An Unrestored Woman by Shoba Rao
14. The Unseen World by Liz Moore
15. To the Bright Edge of the World by Eowyn Ivey
16. Another Brooklyn by Jacqueline Woodson
17. Zero K by Don Delillo
18. Miss Jane by Brad Watson
19. Barkskins by Annie Proulx
20. Vinegar Girl by Anne Tyler

Comment on our lists, or offer your own opinion about who you think will win the 2017 Pulitzer Prize for Fiction: